Mar 6, 2026 at 3:13 AM#1
The SURMOUNT-OSA results were published and they're remarkable. This is the first large randomized trial of an incretin therapy specifically designed for obstructive sleep apnea, and the results exceeded expectations.
Trial Design:
- Two parallel trials: patients with moderate-severe OSA who refused/couldn't tolerate CPAP (Trial 1) and patients using CPAP (Trial 2)
- Tirzepatide 10mg or 15mg vs. placebo, 52 weeks
- Primary endpoint: change in AHI (apnea-hypopnea index)
- BMI >=30, AHI >=15 events/hour
Trial 1 Results (no CPAP):
- Baseline mean AHI: 51.5 events/hour (severe OSA)
- Tirzepatide AHI reduction: -25.3 events/hour (vs. -5.3 placebo)
- That's a 49% AHI reduction
- 43% of tirzepatide patients achieved AHI <15 (mild or no OSA)
- 12% achieved AHI <5 (essentially cured)
- Mean weight loss: -18.1%
Trial 2 Results (with CPAP):
- Baseline mean AHI: 49.5 events/hour
- Tirzepatide AHI reduction: -29.3 events/hour (vs. -5.5 placebo)
- 58% achieved AHI <15
- 21% achieved AHI <5
- Mean weight loss: -19.4%
Key secondary endpoints (both trials):
- Oxygen desaturation index: reduced ~50%
- Nocturnal hypoxemia (% time SpO2 <90%): reduced ~65-70%
- Patient-reported sleepiness (ESS score): improved by 4-5 points
- Systolic blood pressure: reduced 7-10 mmHg
- hs-CRP: reduced ~55%
These are CPAP-level improvements from a weekly injection. The sleep medicine field is having a reckoning.
For context, CPAP typically reduces AHI by 70-90% when used consistently. Tirzepatide achieved ~50% AHI reduction. It's not a CPAP replacement for severe OSA, but for moderate OSA or for the ~50% of patients who can't tolerate CPAP, this is transformative.
Thoughts from fellow sleep physicians?
12 21TirzTom, TrialTracker_MD, JennaRN and 9 others
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