Oct 14, 2025 at 10:49 PM#1
I've been compiling pooled data on ALT normalization rates across GLP-1 receptor agonist trials. This is relevant because persistently elevated ALT is the most accessible biomarker for ongoing hepatocyte injury in MASH, and normalization (ALT <40 U/L in men, <31 U/L in women, or <19 ULN depending on the reference) strongly correlates with histological improvement.
Pooled ALT normalization rates at 48-72 weeks:
| Drug | Dose | ALT Normalization | Mean ALT Reduction | Source |
|------|------|-------------------|-------------------|--------|
| Semaglutide | 2.4mg weekly | 51-59% | -22 to -28 U/L | STEP trials, Phase 2 NASH |
| Tirzepatide | 15mg weekly | 62-74% | -26 to -34 U/L | SURPASS, SYNERGY-NASH |
| Survodutide | 6mg weekly | 76% | -38 U/L | Phase 2b |
| Liraglutide | 1.8mg daily | 38-42% | -14 to -18 U/L | LEAN trial |
| Dulaglutide | 1.5mg weekly | 28-35% | -11 to -15 U/L | Post-hoc analyses |
Key observations:
1. There's a clear potency gradient: survodutide > tirzepatide > semaglutide > liraglutide > dulaglutide. This roughly tracks with weight loss efficacy but isn't perfectly correlated β suggesting direct hepatic effects beyond weight reduction.
2. ALT normalization rates exceed what you'd predict from weight loss alone. In bariatric surgery cohorts with comparable weight loss, ALT normalization is ~55-60% at 12 months. Semaglutide achieves similar rates with less weight loss, suggesting a direct hepatoprotective mechanism.
3. The timeline matters. Most GLP-1 trials show rapid ALT improvement in the first 12-24 weeks (likely reflecting reduced steatosis and inflammation), followed by a slower continued improvement through 48-72 weeks (likely reflecting early fibrosis regression).
4. Baseline ALT is the strongest predictor of response. Patients with ALT >60 U/L show the most dramatic absolute reductions but lower normalization rates. Patients with ALT 40-60 have the highest normalization probability.
Would love to hear from clinicians tracking ALT in their GLP-1 patients. Are you seeing these rates in real-world practice?
23 5labquiet_amy, emily_PDX, Dr.SleepRoch and 20 others
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